Davis, Kennedy Elliott, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski, Allison McCartney and Karen Workman. ![]() In Pennsylvania, Josh Shapiro, the Democratic candidate for. David Goodman, Blake Hounshell, Shawn Hubler, Annie Karni, Maya King, Stephanie Lai, Lisa Lerer, Jonathan Martin, Patricia Mazzei, Alyce McFadden, Jennifer Medina, Azi Paybarah, Mitch Smith, Tracey Tully, Jazmine Ulloa, Neil Vigdor and Jonathan Weisman production by Andy Chen, Amanda Cordero, Alex Garces, Chris Kahley, Laura Kaltman, Andrew Rodriguez and Jessica White editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, William P. The New York Times is capturing readers anxiety in real time with each bounce of its wildly swinging election forecast needle. Three high-profile Republican governors Ron DeSantis of Florida, Greg Abbott of Texas and Brian Kemp of Georgia won re-election. ![]() Epstein, Nicholas Fandos, Lalena Fisher, Trip Gabriel, Katie Glueck, J. Bender, Sarah Borell, Sarah Cahalan, Emily Cochrane, Nick Corasaniti, Jill Cowan, Catie Edmondson, Reid J. Reporting by Grace Ashford, Maggie Astor, Michael C. Lee, Vivian Li, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Jaymin Patel, Marcus Payadue, Matt Ruby, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Jaime Tanner, James Thomas, Urvashi Uberoy, Ege Uz, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. The Times’s election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Kristen Bayrakdarian, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Véronique Brossier, Irineo Cabreros, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Lindsey Rogers Cook, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Avery Dews, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Lazaro Gamio, Martín González Gómez, Will Houp, Jon Huang, Samuel Jacoby, Jason Kao, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. The Times estimates the share of votes reported and the number of remaining votes, based on historic turnout data and reporting from results providers. Source: Election results are from The Associated Press. The Republican Senate primary in Pennsylvania may be headed for a recount, which would be triggered if the margin is less than 0.5 percent of the total votes cast. I also make a personal choice not to register with a political party, or to vote.2020 presidential margin 2020 pres. I am committed to maintaining the highest level of transparency and The Times has an extensive ethics policy. There is a responsibility to accurately and fairly represent the views and attitudes of the electorate in a democratic society, and I take that responsibility very seriously. Nikki Haley stopped in her hometown, Bamberg, S.C., on Tuesday as she took her new campaign bus on the road, aiming to topple Donald J. Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight, gives the New York Times/Siena College poll an A+ grade and rates it as the most accurate poll in America. ![]() I’ve won several awards over the years, most recently the Citrin Award for achievements in public opinion research from the Citrin Center at the University of California at Berkeley. Before that, I was a staff writer for The New Republic and a research assistant at The Henry L. I work closely with our election results and election analytics teams to make election night projections and to build our live election night forecast, known as “the needle.” My Background I’m also responsible for the methodology of the New York Times/Siena College survey, which I started in 2016. My writing for The Upshot and my newsletter, The Tilt, is analytical, explanatory, empirical and data-driven.
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